Журнал инфекционных заболеваний и терапии

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Why Couldn't the COVID-19 Epidemics be Managed? In the Context of Complexity Science, a Solution Framework Global Cooperation, Regional Policies, and Local Intervention

Murat Dincer* and Talip Yigit

Background and aim: The COVID-19 epidemics, is considered to be the most recent and already one of the most destructive epidemics in human history. As part of this study, primarily the biological, economic, and social effects of past epidemics and the COVID-19 epidemics on societies were examined. The aim of the study was to examine the similarities between countries' current state in the context of the COVID-19 epidemics and to develop an approach to epidemic management from a complexity perspective. Material and methods: The analysis used data from 27 European Union member countries, the United Kingdom and the United States, and primarily examined the current state of the countries in the context of the epidemic using the Multidimensional Scaling Analysis method. In addition, SARS-CoV-2-induced cases, deaths and tests were examined via the correlation analysis method with nine variables that were identified in the context of the COVID-19. Results: As a result of the analysis, it was determined that the current state of the countries, based on the impact and sources of the epidemic was quite similar, and that the variables mentioned were minimally related to the number of cases, deaths, and tests. Conclusion: These findings have been interpreted notes only showing that traditional approaches to today's epidemic management, and public health approaches have aspects that need improvement, but also that the epidemic is a multidimensional dynamic system and can be explained from the complexity perspective. As a result, the epidemic management framework was developed from the complexity perspective, which includes global cooperation, regional policies, and a local intervention approach. Therefore, the lifestyles of societies determine the size of the epidemic, while the management style determines whether or not the epidemic turns into a crisis for societies.